GGOALVIO

Colombia · Copa Colombia · 2/16/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Popayan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Popayan are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Union Magdalena are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Popayan hold a 37.9-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Copa Colombia, while Popayan holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Popayan

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Popayan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PopayanWD

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Union MagdalenaDDLWD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PopayanUnion Magdalena
66.7Attack0.0
33.3Defence33.3
58.3Form0.0
53.2Power15.3
1.86xG1.15
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