PopayanvsUnion Magdalena

COMPLETED

Colombia · Primera B · 10/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Popayan 0-0 Union Magdalena, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Final result

Popayan 1-1 Union Magdalena

Original prediction

Union Magdalena

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	3.44	26.5%	30.2%	3.7 pts
Draw	3.10	29.4%	31.0%	1.5 pts
Away	2.07	44.0%	38.8%	-5.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.3 pts

Projected Score

Popayan 0–0 Union Magdalena

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Union Magdalena

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

PopayanWWWWD

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5

Union MagdalenaWDDWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5

PopayanUnion Magdalena

42.7Attack47.3

58.7Defence67.7

40.0Form55.9

48.6Power58.3

0.86xG1.10