Popayanvs
Real Santander
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 9/13/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Popayan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Popayan 0-0 Real Santander, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Popayan 2-0 Real Santander
Original prediction
Popayan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.6% | 41.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.3% | 29.8% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 32.1% | 29.1% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Projected Score
Popayan 0–0 Real Santander
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Popayan
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Popayan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PopayanDLLLD
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Real SantanderDWWDD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PopayanReal Santander
33.3Attack30.3
54.0Defence47.0
28.6Form25.8
41.3Power37.0
1.15xG0.76