GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 2/19/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Cartagena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Popayan are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Real Cartagena are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Cartagena hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Primera B, while Real Cartagena holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Cartagena

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Real Cartagena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PopayanLWD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
Real CartagenaDWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
PopayanReal Cartagena
31.5Attack51.3
57.4Defence62.8
31.5Form56.4
42.7Power57.8
0.72xG1.26
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