Popayanvs
Ind. Yumbo
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 4/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Popayan are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ind. Yumbo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ind. Yumbo hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.2% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
27.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20