Poole Townvs
Yate Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Poole Town 2-1 Yate Town
Original prediction
Poole Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.5% | 37.5% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.9% | 26.8% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.6% | 35.7% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Poole Town
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20