GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Yate Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Yate Town hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownDWWLW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yate TownLWLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Poole TownYate Town
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence83.3
50.0Form66.7
53.0Power64.8
1.36xG1.28
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