GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/9/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Winchester City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownLLDLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Winchester CityWLDLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Poole TownWinchester City
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence46.8
50.0Form45.2
53.0Power48.2
1.65xG1.29
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