GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/11/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Weymouth are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownWWDDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WeymouthLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Poole TownWeymouth
33.3Attack42.1
66.7Defence43.7
50.0Form37.3
53.0Power41.8
1.79xG1.06
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