GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/15/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tiverton Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tiverton TownLLWDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Poole TownTiverton Town
33.3Attack50.8
66.7Defence41.3
50.0Form41.3
53.0Power46.1
1.84xG1.30
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