GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/17/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tiverton Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownLWWWL

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tiverton TownDLDLL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Poole TownTiverton Town
33.3Attack50.8
66.7Defence41.3
50.0Form41.3
53.0Power46.1
1.84xG1.30
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