GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/18/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownWWLWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Swindon SupermarineWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Poole TownSwindon Supermarine
33.3Attack57.9
66.7Defence27.0
50.0Form38.9
53.0Power42.8
2.31xG1.47
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