GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/23/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sholing · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Sholing are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sholing

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownLLLWL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SholingLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Poole TownSholing
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
53.0Power83.3
1.28xG1.36
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