GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/30/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Salisbury are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownLWWWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SalisburyWDLWD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Poole TownSalisbury
33.3Attack55.6
66.7Defence63.5
50.0Form62.7
53.0Power62.5
1.09xG1.49
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