GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/14/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownLLDWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownWWWDW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Poole TownMerthyr Town
33.3Attack67.5
66.7Defence53.2
50.0Form53.2
53.0Power57.2
1.42xG1.78
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