GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/6/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Merthyr TownWLDDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Poole TownMerthyr Town
33.3Attack67.5
66.7Defence53.2
50.0Form53.2
53.0Power57.2
1.42xG1.78
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