GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/23/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Harrow Borough are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

61.6%

Model confidence

61.6%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownDWLWD

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Harrow BoroughWLLLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Poole TownHarrow Borough
33.3Attack47.6
66.7Defence23.0
50.0Form31.0
53.0Power36.0
2.48xG1.19
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