GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/23/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hanwell Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hanwell Town hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownDWLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hanwell TownWWDWL

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Poole TownHanwell Town
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence50.0
50.0Form66.7
53.0Power64.8
1.50xG1.46
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