GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/12/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Gosport Borough are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownLLWWL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gosport BoroughWWDWW

GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Poole TownGosport Borough
33.3Attack0.0
66.7Defence66.7
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power26.7
1.58xG1.10
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