GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gloucester City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gloucester CityWDWWD

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Poole TownGloucester City
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power26.7
1.81xG1.13
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