GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/23/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Evesham United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownWLWDW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Evesham UnitedLDWLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Poole TownEvesham United
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence0.0
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power40.7
1.80xG1.37
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