Poole Townvs
Evesham United
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/23/2025, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Poole Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Evesham United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Poole Town
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80