GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/26/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dorchester TownWDWDD

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Poole TownDorchester Town
33.3Attack52.4
66.7Defence38.9
50.0Form47.6
53.0Power48.3
1.90xG1.35
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