GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/28/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownWWLDW

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dorchester TownLLLDL

GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Poole TownDorchester Town
33.3Attack52.4
66.7Defence38.9
50.0Form47.6
53.0Power48.3
1.90xG1.35
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