Poole Townvs
Dorchester Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/28/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Poole Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Poole Town
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40