GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/20/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Didcot Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 30.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

68.1%

Model confidence

68.1%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownDWWLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Didcot TownWDLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Poole TownDidcot Town
33.3Attack35.7
66.7Defence25.4
50.0Form22.2
53.0Power30.5
2.45xG0.87
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