Poole Townvs
Chesham United
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/21/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Poole Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chesham United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chesham United
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80