GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/6/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownWDWLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chertsey TownDDLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Poole TownChertsey Town
33.3Attack83.3
66.7Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
53.0Power89.7
1.26xG1.67
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