GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Bracknell Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownLDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Bracknell TownWWLWD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Poole TownBracknell Town
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence0.0
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power34.5
1.82xG1.27
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