GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Berkhamsted are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownWWLWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BerkhamstedWDLDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Poole TownBerkhamsted
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence33.3
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power45.8
1.68xG1.30
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