GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/18/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownLDDDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Basingstoke TownWLDLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Poole TownBasingstoke Town
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power21.5
1.94xG1.19
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