GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/17/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Poole Town are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Poole TownLLLLL

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Basingstoke TownWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Poole TownBasingstoke Town
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power21.5
1.94xG1.19
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