GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/19/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

The New Saints · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Pontypridd Town are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while The New Saints are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and The New Saints hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Premier League, while The New Saints holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

The New Saints

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

The New Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pontypridd TownDL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
The New SaintsWLDLL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Pontypridd TownThe New Saints
24.0Attack33.3
57.3Defence100.0
32.3Form66.7
39.6Power68.0
0.75xG1.20
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