GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/25/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Penybont · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Pontypridd Town are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Penybont are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Penybont hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Premier League, while Penybont holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Penybont

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Penybont has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pontypridd TownLDL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.33/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
PenybontWWLDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Pontypridd TownPenybont
24.0Attack33.3
57.3Defence83.3
32.3Form66.7
39.6Power64.8
0.75xG1.19
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