Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ternana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Pontedera are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ternana are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ternana hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the Serie C - Girone B, while Ternana holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ternana
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Ternana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40