Ponte PretavsVila Nova

Ponte Preta are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vila Nova are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vila Nova hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (28.1 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.1% in the Serie B, while Vila Nova holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.