Ponte PretavsSport Recife

Ponte Preta are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sport Recife are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sport Recife hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (28.1 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.3% in the Serie B, while Sport Recife holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.