Ponte Pretavs
São Bernardo
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/6/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
São Bernardo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ponte Preta 0-1 São Bernardo, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ponte Preta 0-2 São Bernardo
Original prediction
São Bernardo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.52 | 9.8% | 9.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.95 | 18.9% | 19.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 71.3% | 70.8% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Projected Score
Ponte Preta 0–1 São Bernardo
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
São Bernardo
Probability
70.8%
Model confidence
70.8%
São Bernardo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ponte PretaLLLDL
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
São BernardoLDDLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Ponte PretaSão Bernardo
21.3Attack45.3
30.7Defence61.3
13.3Form42.7
25.4Power51.3
0.55xG1.86