Ponte Pretavs
Juventude
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/7/2026, 12:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventude · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ponte Preta 0-1 Juventude, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ponte Preta 0-2 Juventude
Original prediction
Juventude
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.38 | 9.9% | 7.3% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.90 | 19.0% | 20.4% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 71.1% | 72.3% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Projected Score
Ponte Preta 0–1 Juventude
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Juventude
Probability
72.3%
Model confidence
72.3%
Juventude has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ponte PretaLLWLL
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
JuventudeWWLLW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Ponte PretaJuventude
18.3Attack37.6
29.0Defence79.6
14.0Form60.2
24.2Power60.6
0.32xG1.63