GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/22/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Criciuma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Ponte Preta are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Criciuma are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WDWD), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Criciuma hold a 34.0-point power-rating edge (28.1 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.0% in the Serie B, while Criciuma holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Criciuma

Probability

62.0%

Model confidence

62.0%

Criciuma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ponte PretaLLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67

BTTS 0/3O2.5 2/3
CriciumaWDWD

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
Ponte PretaCriciuma
23.8Attack36.5
34.9Defence77.8
14.3Form63.5
28.1Power62.1
0.33xG1.45
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