Ponte Pretavs
CRB
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CRB · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-3 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ponte Preta 1-0 CRB
Original prediction
CRB
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.85 | 10.6% | 10.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.19 | 18.0% | 17.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 71.4% | 72.5% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–310%
Predicted outcome
CRB
Probability
72.5%
Model confidence
72.5%
CRB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ponte PretaLLLLL
GF 0 · GA 14 · avg 0.00/2.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
CRBWLWWL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Ponte PretaCRB
19.0Attack50.0
26.2Defence52.4
11.9Form53.6
22.9Power53.6
0.66xG2.14