Ponte Pretavs
Ceara
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 4/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ceara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Ponte Preta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ceara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ceara hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (28.1 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.8% in the Serie B, while Ceara holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ceara
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
18.8%
Ceara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00