GGOALVIO

Ponte Preta logoPonte PretavsCeara logoCeara

COMPLETED

Brazil · Serie B · 4/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ceara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Ponte Preta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ceara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ceara hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (28.1 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.8% in the Serie B, while Ceara holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ceara

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

18.8%

Ceara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ponte PretaLLWWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CearaDDWWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ponte PretaCeara
23.8Attack34.9
34.9Defence60.3
14.3Form39.7
28.1Power47.3
0.57xG1.32
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