Ponte Pretavs
Atletico Goianiense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/16/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Goianiense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ponte Preta 0-1 Atletico Goianiense, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ponte Preta 1-1 Atletico Goianiense
Original prediction
Atletico Goianiense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.59 | 9.8% | 8.4% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.93 | 19.0% | 19.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 71.3% | 72.3% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.93 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Projected Score
Ponte Preta 0–1 Atletico Goianiense
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Goianiense
Probability
72.3%
Model confidence
72.3%
Atletico Goianiense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00