Ponte Preta U20vs
Itapirense U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ponte Preta U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ponte Preta U20 1-1 Itapirense U20
Original prediction
Ponte Preta U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 54.6% | 47.3% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.5% | 24.2% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 4.26 | 20.9% | 28.5% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Ponte Preta U20
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Ponte Preta U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20