GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista - U20 · 7/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferroviária U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Ponte Preta U20 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ferroviária U20 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferroviária U20 hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Paulista - U20, while Ferroviária U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferroviária U20

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

13.0%

Ferroviária U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ponte Preta U20DWWLL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ferroviária U20WDWWL

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Ponte Preta U20Ferroviária U20
37.0Attack48.1
33.3Defence70.4
40.7Form63.0
39.2Power60.6
0.74xG1.84
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