Ponte da Barcavs
Rebordosa
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rebordosa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ponte da Barca 0-0 Rebordosa
Original prediction
Rebordosa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.8% | 32.6% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.1% | 29.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 35.1% | 37.6% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Rebordosa
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Rebordosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00