Ponferradinavs
Celta de Vigo II
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 8/27/2023, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ponferradina are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Celta de Vigo II are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Celta de Vigo II hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (57.7 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.25