GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 8/27/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ponferradina are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Celta de Vigo II are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Celta de Vigo II hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (57.7 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PonferradinaWWDWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Celta de Vigo IILWDW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.25

BTTS 0/4O2.5 1/4
PonferradinaCelta de Vigo II
33.3Attack58.8
77.2Defence66.7
56.1Form57.0
57.7Power61.0
0.71xG0.78
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