GGOALVIO

Mauritania · Premier League · 10/20/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pompiers · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Pompiers 1-0 Tevragh-Zeïne, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Prediction record

Final result

Pompiers 1-1 Tevragh-Zeïne

Original prediction

Pompiers

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 15:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9944.6%43.9%-0.8 pts
Draw3.0029.6%29.5%-0.1 pts
Away3.4425.8%26.7%0.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.8 pts

Projected Score

Pompiers 1–0 Tevragh-Zeïne

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Pompiers

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Pompiers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PompiersWLDWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Tevragh-ZeïneDWLLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PompiersTevragh-Zeïne
100.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form33.3
97.0Power45.3
1.32xG0.76
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