GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Cup · 8/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Polonne · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Polonne are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Trostianets are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Polonne hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Cup, while Polonne holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Polonne

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

13.7%

Polonne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PolonneLD

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
TrostianetsWDWLD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PolonneTrostianets
16.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
16.7Form0.0
26.2Power23.7
1.39xG1.27
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