Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Polonia Warszawa

Polonia Warszawa

Home
L
02
Full time
Zlin

Zlin

Away
WW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Draw35%
Zlin33%
Polonia Warszawa32%
Prediction missed— Result: Zlin
Win probability
Polonia Warszawa
32%
Draw
35%
Zlin
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Polonia Warszawa
9
Zlin
86
Defence
Polonia Warszawa
27
Zlin
82
Momentum
Polonia Warszawa
0
Zlin
100
Danger (xG)
Polonia Warszawa
0.00
Zlin
2.25
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.29 xG for Polonia Warszawa and 1.27 xG for Zlin — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.02), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.56 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Polonia Warszawa's Defensive Stability (27) and Zlin's (82) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Polonia Warszawa)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Zlin)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Polonia Warszawa)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Zlin)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa
LLLW
ZlinZlin
WWLLL

Probability breakdown

35% confidence
Polonia Warszawa32%
Draw35%
Zlin33%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Polonia Warszawa vs Zlin: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Polonia Warszawa take on Zlin in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Polonia Warszawa 0Draws 01 Zlin
Avg goals: 2.0
15 Jul 2026
Polonia Warszawa
L02
Zlin

Recent form

Polonia Warszawa

Polonia Warszawa

L
vs Zlin
15 Jul 2026
02
L
@ Znicz Pruszków
27 Jun 2026
23
L
vs Wisla Krakow
15 May 2026
01
W
vs Górnik Łęczna
10 May 2026
21
Zlin

Zlin

W
@ Polonia Warszawa
15 Jul 2026
20
W
@ AS Trencin
3 Jul 2026
31
L
vs Hanácká
27 Jun 2026
02
L
@ Baník Ostrava
16 May 2026
02
L
vs Teplice
12 May 2026
24

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Zlin?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 35% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Polonia Warszawa vs Zlin?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Polonia Warszawa vs Zlin?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Polonia Warszawa vs Zlin?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more