GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 7/30/2023, 10:40:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Polonia Warszawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Polonia Warszawa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Wisla Krakow are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Polonia Warszawa hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the I Liga, while Polonia Warszawa holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Polonia Warszawa

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Polonia Warszawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia WarszawaWLDLW

GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Wisla KrakowDDLWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Polonia WarszawaWisla Krakow
55.6Attack60.8
77.8Defence51.0
77.8Form49.0
72.8Power54.0
1.70xG1.33
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