GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 7/22/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Polonia Warszawa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Polonia Warszawa are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Tychy 71 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Polonia Warszawa hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the I Liga, while Polonia Warszawa holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Polonia Warszawa

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Polonia Warszawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Polonia WarszawaDLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Tychy 71DWWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Polonia WarszawaTychy 71
55.6Attack42.2
77.8Defence53.9
77.8Form50.0
72.8Power50.4
1.61xG0.91
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